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网易机构预测指数第二十六期对4月CPI、信贷和进出口等数据进行了预测,结果显示4月CPI或增2.0%,PPI或下降1.9%;出口、进口增速或分别为-2.7%和-2.9%。信贷增速稳健,M2同比增12.3%,新增贷款8443亿。固定资产投资增速或小幅回升至17.7%,消费品零售增12.2%。 [详细] |
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2014年4月经济数据预测
- CPI2%
机构预测的4月CPI均值为2.0%。食品价格延续了此前的下降趋势,非食品价格基本稳定。[详细]
- PPI-1.9%
机构预测4月PPI同比跌1.9%。4月前三周六大类生产资料细分指数环比涨跌互现,本月或有翘尾因素。
[详细]
- 新增信贷8443
机构预测4月新增信贷8443亿。银行间市场流动性仍较为稳定,M2或增12.3%。[详细]
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 交通银行 |
↑1.9% |
↓-1.8% |
| 申银万国 |
↑2.2% |
↓-1.8% |
| 银河证券 |
↑2.0% |
↓-1.8% |
| 美银美林 |
↑1.9% |
↓-1.9% |
| 东北证券 |
↑2.1% |
↓-1.9% |
| 宏源证券 |
↑2.5% |
↓-1.8% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑2.1% |
↓-1.8% |
| 中金证券 |
↑2.0% |
↓-1.8% |
| 光大证券 |
↑2.0% |
↓-2.0% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑2.0% |
↓-1.9% |
| 招商证券 |
↑2.2% |
↓-1.9% |
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 方正证券 |
↑1.9% |
↓-1.9% |
| 花旗银行 |
↑1.9% |
↓-1.7% |
| 海通证券 |
↑1.8% |
↓-1.8% |
| 国开证券 |
↑2.1% |
↓-1.9% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑2.1% |
↓-2.0% |
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| 机构名称 |
新增贷款(亿元) |
M2增速(同比) |
| 交通银行 |
↑8500 |
↑12.0% |
| 申银万国 |
↑8381 |
↑12.1% |
| 银河证券 |
↑7000 |
↑13.3% |
| 美银美林 |
↑8600 |
↑11.8% |
| 东北证券 |
↑8000 |
↑12.7 % |
| 宏源证券 |
↑8700 |
↑13.0 % |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑8000 |
↑12.2% |
| 中金证券 |
↑9000 |
↑12.3% |
| 光大证券 |
↑9000 |
↑12.3% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑8500 |
↑12.3% |
| 招商证券 |
↑9000 |
↑12.2% |
| 方正证券 |
↑8500 |
↑12.1% |
| 花旗银行 |
↑7900 |
↑12.3 % |
| 海通证券 |
↑8000 |
↑12.1% |
| 国开证券 |
↑9100 |
↑12.1% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑8900 |
↑12.4% |
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| 机构名称 |
进口增速(同比) |
出口增速(同比) |
顺差(亿美元) |
| 交通银行 |
↓-2% |
↓-3.5% |
↑150 |
| 申银万国 |
↑5.8% |
↓-0.9% |
↑70 |
| 银河证券 |
↑4.5% |
↑5.9% |
↑200 |
| 美银美林 |
↓-9% |
↓-7.5% |
↑195 |
| 东北证券 |
↓-13% |
↓-6.6% |
↑275 |
| 宏源证券 |
↓-2.8% |
↓-4.3% |
↑127 |
| 瑞银证券 |
↓-4.0% |
↓-0.5% |
↑245 |
| 中金证券 |
↑2.9% |
↓-1.3% |
↑110 |
| 光大证券 |
↓-2.7% |
↓-1.8% |
↑195 |
| 兴业证券 |
↑3.0% |
↓-2.0% |
↑93.5 |
| 招商证券 |
↑3.8% |
↓-0.8% |
↑101.3 |
| 方正证券 |
↓-6.6% |
↓-6.3% |
↑176.8 |
| 花旗银行 |
↓-7.3% |
↓-4.3% |
↑224 |
| 海通证券 |
↓-3.6% |
↓-6.6% |
↑118 |
| 国开证券 |
↑0.6% |
↓-1.5% |
↑143.9 |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↓-12.6% |
↓-4% |
↑225 |
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| 机构名称 |
工业增加值 |
固定资产投资 |
社会消费品零售额 |
| 交通银行 |
↑9.2% |
↑18.0% |
↑12.2% |
| 申银万国 |
↑8.6 % |
↑17.3% |
↑12.2% |
| 银河证券 |
↑8.9 % |
↑17.9% |
↑12.6% |
| 美银美林 |
↑8.7% |
↑17.5% |
↑12.0% |
| 东北证券 |
↑8.4 % |
↑17.5% |
↑12.4% |
| 宏源证券 |
↑8.6 % |
↑18.1% |
↑12.9% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑8.9% |
↑17.7% |
↑12.2% |
| 中金证券 |
↑8.6% |
↑17.6% |
↑12.0% |
| 光大证券 |
↑8.8% |
↑17.7% |
↑12.3% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑8.7% |
↑17.8% |
↑12.3% |
| 招商证券 |
↑9.0% |
↑18.1% |
↑12.4% |
| 方正证券 |
↑8.6% |
↑17.4% |
↑11.8% |
| 花旗银行 |
↑8.4 % |
↑17.4% |
↑12.5% |
| 海通证券 |
↑8.6% |
↑17.5% |
↑11% |
| 国开证券 |
↑8.9% |
↑17.9% |
↑12.1% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑9.2% |
↑17.3% |
↑12.3% |
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