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网易机构预测指数第二十五期对GDP、CPI、信贷和进出口等数据进行了预测，调查显示一季度GDP或同比增长7.3%。3月份CPI或同比增2.5%，PPI同比跌2.1%。预计3月新增信贷9746亿，M2增速为12.8%。进口或同比增长3.5%，出口同比增长3.9%，贸易顺差34.5亿美元。 [详细] |
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2014年3月经济数据预测
- CPI2.5%
机构预测3月CPI均值为2.5%。蔬菜和肉类等价格降幅较大，粮食价格基本稳定。[详细]
- PPI-2.1%
机构预测3月PPI同比跌2.1%。因企业库存去化压力上升，产出和投入指数继续大幅回落，PPI回升受压。
[详细]
- GDP7.3%
机构预测一季度GDP实际同比增长7.3%，因1、2月份工业增速仅为8.6%，经济增长数据大幅低于预期。[详细]
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 交通银行 |
↑2.5% |
↓-2.2% |
| 申银万国 |
↑2.5% |
↓-1.9% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-2.1% |
| 美银美林 |
↑2.5% |
↓-2% |
| 国开证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-2% |
| 宏源证券 |
↑2.0% |
↓-1.9% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-2.1% |
| 中金证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-2.5% |
| 光大证券 |
↑2.3% |
↓-2.4% |
| 联讯证券 |
↑2.7% |
↓-2.3% |
| 华泰证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-2.1% |
| 招商证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-2.0% |
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 方正证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-2.1% |
| 中信证券 |
↑2.5% |
↓-1.9% |
| 国信证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-1.8% |
| 海通证券 |
↑2.5% |
↓-2.0% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑2.5% |
↓-1.9% |
| 银河证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-2.1% |
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| 机构名称 |
新增贷款(亿元) |
M2增速(同比) |
| 交通银行 |
↑10000 |
↑12.9% |
| 申银万国 |
↑10150 |
↑12.8 % |
| 银河证券 |
↑8500 |
↑13.3% |
| 美银美林 |
↑10000 |
↑13% |
| 国开证券 |
↑9100 |
↑12.7 % |
| 宏源证券 |
↑8800 |
↑13.3 % |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑10000 |
↑12.9% |
| 中金证券 |
↑11000 |
↑12.1% |
| 光大证券 |
↑10000 |
↑13.0% |
| 国信证券 |
↑9800 |
↑13.0% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑9500 |
↑13.5% |
| 方正证券 |
↑10000 |
↑12.8% |
| 中信证券 |
↑9500 |
↑13.1% |
| 海通证券 |
↑10000 |
↑12.0% |
| 联讯证券 |
↑11000 |
↑12.4% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑9070 |
↑12.9% |
| 华泰证券 |
↑10000 |
↑12.2% |
| 招商证券 |
↑9000 |
↑13.0% |
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| 机构名称 |
进口增速(同比) |
出口增速(同比) |
顺差(亿美元) |
| 交通银行 |
↑5% |
↑6.5% |
↑18 |
| 申银万国 |
↑7.5% |
↑4.9% |
↓-56.2 |
| 银河证券 |
↓-7.5% |
↑1.5% |
↑150 |
| 美银美林 |
↑6.5% |
↑3% |
↓-74 |
| 国开证券 |
↑7.5% |
↓-5.6% |
↓-6.8 |
| 宏源证券 |
↑8.2% |
↑10.3% |
↑140 |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑0 |
↑4% |
↑64 |
| 中金证券 |
↓-0.1% |
↑5.1% |
↑84 |
| 光大证券 |
↑4.8% |
↑4.8% |
↑109 |
| 国信证券 |
↑3.8% |
↑7.1% |
↑50 |
| 兴业证券 |
↑6% |
↑5% |
↓-26.8 |
| 方正证券 |
↑5% |
↑5% |
↑50 |
| 中信证券 |
↑0 |
↑5.2% |
↑85.1 |
| 海通证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-2.1% |
↓-92 |
| 联讯证券 |
↑4.6% |
↑0 |
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| 齐鲁证券 |
↑5.6% |
↑3.4% |
↓-50.3 |
| 华泰证券 |
↑1% |
↑7% |
↑100 |
| 招商证券 |
↑2.2% |
↑5.1% |
↑42.8 |
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| 机构名称 |
工业增加值 |
固定资产投资 |
社会消费品零售额 |
| 交通银行 |
↑9.0% |
↑18.5% |
↑12.2% |
| 申银万国 |
↑9.1 % |
↑17.7% |
↑12.3% |
| 银河证券 |
↑9.0% |
↑17.5% |
↑12.0% |
| 美银美林 |
↑8.8% |
↑18.1% |
↑12.1% |
| 国开证券 |
↑8.8 % |
↑17.9% |
↑12.1% |
| 宏源证券 |
↑9.0 % |
↑18.3% |
↑13.2% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑9.2% |
↑18% |
↑12.3% |
| 中金证券 |
↑8.4% |
↑17.6% |
↑12.0% |
| 光大证券 |
↑9.0% |
↑18.0% |
↑11.8% |
| 国信证券 |
↑8.9% |
↑19.0% |
↑12.1% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑8.9% |
↑18.1% |
↑12% |
| 方正证券 |
↑9.0% |
↑18% |
↑12.4% |
| 中信证券 |
↑9.4 % |
↑18.1% |
↑12.2% |
| 海通证券 |
↑8.8% |
↑17.0% |
↑11.9% |
| 联讯证券 |
↑9.0% |
↑18.3% |
↑11.7% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑8.8% |
↑17.8% |
↑12.2% |
| 华泰证券 |
↑8.8% |
↑18% |
↑12.8% |
| 招商证券 |
↑9.0% |
↑18.6% |
↑12.1% |
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