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网易机构预测指数第二十四期对CPI、信贷、和进出口等数据进行了预测，结果显示2月通胀率走低，CPI或增2.0%；经济下行压力加大，PPI或下降1.9%；出口、进口或分别增7.9%和10.8%；固定资产投资增速基本保持稳定，或增19.0%；信贷增速坚挺，新增人民币贷款7370亿元。 [详细] |
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2014年2月经济数据预测
- CPI2%
机构预测的2月CPI增幅均值为2.0%。随着节日需求消退，2月食品价格开始回落。[详细]
- PPI-1.9%
机构预测2月PPI同比跌1.9%。虽然国际大宗商品价格回升，但由于国内生产活动低迷，国内原材料价格继续回落。
[详细]
- 新增信贷7370
机构预测2月新增信贷7370亿，银行系统流动较为充裕。预计本月贷款供给较多。[详细]
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 交通银行 |
↑2% |
↓-2% |
| 申银万国 |
↑1.7% |
↓-1.4% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑2% |
↓-2% |
| 美银美林 |
↑2% |
↓-1.8% |
| 德意志银行 |
↑2% |
↓-1.8% |
| 宏源证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-1.7% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑2.2% |
↓-2% |
| 中金证券 |
↑2% |
↓-2% |
| 光大证券 |
↑1.9% |
↓-2.2% |
| 联讯证券 |
↑1.9% |
↓-2% |
| 招商证券 |
↑2.1% |
↓-1.9% |
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 方正证券 |
↑2% |
↓-1.9% |
| 中信证券 |
↑2% |
↓-1.9% |
| 国联证券 |
↑2.1% |
↓-1.8% |
| 东北证券 |
↑1.9% |
↓-1.8% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑2% |
↓-1.9% |
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| 机构名称 |
新增贷款(亿元) |
M2增速(同比) |
| 交通银行 |
↑7100 |
↑13.2% |
| 申银万国 |
↑7220 |
↑13.2 % |
| 兴业证券 |
↑8000 |
↑13.4% |
| 美银美林 |
↑8000 |
↑13.7 % |
| 德意志银行 |
↑7500 |
↑13.2 % |
| 宏源证券 |
↑7800 |
↑13.5 % |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑7500 |
↑13.4% |
| 中金证券 |
↑7000 |
↑13.2% |
| 光大证券 |
↑7500 |
↑13.3% |
| 联讯证券 |
↑7600 |
↑13.6% |
| 招商证券 |
↑7000 |
↑13.1% |
| 方正证券 |
↑7200 |
↑14% |
| 中信证券 |
↑7000 |
↑13.5 % |
| 国联证券 |
↑7000 |
↑13.5% |
| 东北证券 |
↑7500 |
↑13.6% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑7000 |
↑13.1% |
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| 机构名称 |
进口增速(同比) |
出口增速(同比) |
顺差(亿美元) |
| 交通银行 |
↑13.5% |
↑11.5% |
↑145 |
| 申银万国 |
↑21.4% |
↑9.8% |
↑25.4 |
| 兴业证券 |
↑15% |
↑13% |
↑147 |
| 美银美林 |
↑7.5% |
↑10% |
↑195 |
| 德意志银行 |
↑17% |
↑11% |
↑90 |
| 宏源证券 |
↑6.7% |
↑7.9% |
↑275 |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑3% |
↓-5% |
↑42 |
| 中金证券 |
↑6% |
↑6% |
↑157 |
| 光大证券 |
↑7.6% |
↑7.5% |
↑159 |
| 联讯证券 |
↑2.2% |
↑7.3% |
↑227 |
| 招商证券 |
↑17.9% |
↑1.5% |
↓-49 |
| 方正证券 |
↑12% |
↑9% |
↑130 |
| 中信证券 |
↑9% |
↑5% |
↑106.2 |
| 国联证券 |
↑12.8% |
↑11.5% |
↑153.6 |
| 东北证券 |
↑5.9% |
↑6.1% |
↑165 |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑16% |
↑14.5% |
↑156 |
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| 机构名称 |
工业增加值 |
固定资产投资 |
社会消费品零售额 |
| 交通银行 |
↑9.5% |
↑19.4% |
↑13.6% |
| 申银万国 |
↑9.7 % |
↑19.6% |
↑13.5% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑9.6 % |
↑19.5% |
↑13.4% |
| 美银美林 |
↑9.9 % |
↑19.6% |
↑13.6% |
| 德意志银行 |
↑9.8 % |
↑18.5% |
↑13.5% |
| 宏源证券 |
↑9.4 % |
↑19.4% |
↑13.3% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑9.4% |
↑18% |
↑12.8% |
| 中金证券 |
↑9.8% |
↑19.4% |
↑13.7% |
| 光大证券 |
↑9.6% |
↑18.3% |
↑13.5% |
| 联讯证券 |
↑10% |
↑18.6% |
↑13% |
| 招商证券 |
↑9.5% |
↑19.8% |
↑13.8% |
| 方正证券 |
↑9.4% |
↑19.3% |
↑13.8% |
| 中信证券 |
↑9.5 % |
↑17.5% |
↑13.2% |
| 国联证券 |
↑9.6% |
↑19.4% |
↑13.4% |
| 东北证券 |
↑9.7% |
↑18.2% |
↑13.4% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑9.5% |
↑19.6% |
↑13.5% |
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