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网易机构预测指数第二十二期对GDP、CPI、信贷和进出口等数据进行了预测，结果显示四季度中国GDP或同比增长7.6%。12月CPI或增2.6%；PPI或下降1.3%；高基数将导致出口增速大幅回落，出口、进口分别增4.6%和4.5%；工业增加值、固定资产投资及消费品零售增速小幅回落，或分别增9.8%、19.8%和13.6%。 [详细] |
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2013年12月经济数据预测
- CPI2.6%
机构预测的12月CPI增幅均值为2.6%。最低预测值来自齐鲁证券的2.2%，而光大证券给出了2.7%的最高预测值。[详细]
- PPI-1.3%
工业生产者价格指数方面，光大证券预测最高值为-0.9%，方正证券预测最低值为-1.4%，总体均值-1.3%。
[详细]
- GDP7.7%
机构预测四季度GDP增幅均值为7.6%。而对于全年GDP实际增速，有11家机构给出了预测，其均值为7.7%。[详细]
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 海通证券 |
↑2.7% |
↓-1.2% |
| 国开证券 |
↑2.7% |
↓-1.3% |
| 方正证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-1.4% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-1.4% |
| 中金公司 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.4% |
| 中信证券 |
↑2.7% |
↓-1.3% |
| 申银万国 |
↑2.5% |
↓-1.3% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑2.7% |
↓-1.4% |
| 美林美银 |
↑2.7% |
↓-1.3% |
| 交通银行 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.2% |
| 东北证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.0% |
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑2.2% |
↓-1.4% |
| 光大证券 |
↑2.7% |
↓-0.9% |
| 宏源证券 |
↑3.2% |
↓-1.2% |
| 联讯证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-1.3% |
| 银河证券 |
↑2.7% |
↓-1.3% |
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| 机构名称 |
新增贷款(亿元) |
M2增速(同比) |
| 海通证券 |
↑6000 |
↑13.5% |
| 国开证券 |
↑6000 |
↑14.0% |
| 方正证券 |
↑4600 |
↑13.5% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑5800 |
↑13.6% |
| 中金公司 |
↑6000 |
↑13.5% |
| 中信证券 |
↑5700 |
↑13.8% |
| 申银万国 |
↑6000 |
↑13.8% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑5000 |
↑13.5% |
| 美林美银 |
↑6000 |
↑14.0% |
| 交通银行 |
↑5800 |
↑13.9% |
| 东北证券 |
↑5800 |
↑13.8% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑5500 |
↑14.1% |
| 光大证券 |
↑6000 |
↑14.0% |
| 宏源证券 |
↑5700 |
↑14.4% |
| 联讯证券 |
↑6000 |
↑13.7% |
| 银河证券 |
↑5500 |
↑14.1% |
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| 机构名称 |
进口增速(同比) |
出口增速(同比) |
顺差(亿美元) |
| 海通证券 |
↑6.4% |
↑6.9% |
↑347 |
| 国开证券 |
↑3.1% |
↑1.1% |
↑279.8 |
| 方正证券 |
↑3.8% |
↑4.5% |
↑335.6 |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑6.0% |
↑4.5% |
↑299 |
| 中金公司 |
↑4.0% |
↑3.0% |
↑302 |
| 中信证券 |
↑4.1% |
↑3.9% |
↑320 |
| 申银万国 |
↑5.0% |
↑5.0% |
↑330.5 |
| 兴业证券 |
↑2.0% |
↑3.0% |
↑306 |
| 美林美银 |
↑6.0% |
↑5.0% |
↑315 |
| 交通银行 |
↑7.0% |
↑1.0% |
↑218 |
| 东北证券 |
↑7.0% |
↑7.8% |
↑330 |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑2.5% |
↑4.0% |
↑354 |
| 光大证券 |
↑3.7% |
↑2.4% |
↑294 |
| 宏源证券 |
↑4.7% |
↑8.5% |
↑287 |
| 联讯证券 |
↑2.2% |
↑7.3% |
↑425 |
| 银河证券 |
↑4.4% |
↑5.4% |
↑310 |
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| 机构名称 |
工业增加值 |
固定资产投资 |
社会消费品零售额 |
| 海通证券 |
↑9.8% |
↑19.6% |
↑13.7% |
| 国开证券 |
↑9.8% |
↑19.8% |
↑13.8% |
| 方正证券 |
↑9.8% |
↑19.8% |
↑14.0% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑9.5% |
↑19.7% |
↑13.4% |
| 中金公司 |
↑9.7% |
↑19.7% |
↑13.5% |
| 中信证券 |
↑9.7% |
↑20.0% |
↑13.3% |
| 申银万国 |
↑9.7% |
↑19.9% |
↑13.7% |
| 兴业证券 |
↑9.7% |
↑20.0% |
↑13.6% |
| 美林美银 |
↑9.8% |
↑19.8% |
↑13.5% |
| 交通银行 |
↑10.0% |
↑19.8% |
↑13.8% |
| 东北证券 |
↑10.2% |
↑20.1% |
↑13.6% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑9.6% |
↑19.6% |
↑13.6% |
| 光大证券 |
↑9.7% |
↑20.0% |
↑13.0% |
| 宏源证券 |
↑9.9% |
↑19.6% |
↑13.3% |
| 联讯证券 |
↑9.8% |
↑19.9% |
↑13.9% |
| 银河证券 |
↑9.8 % |
↑19.4% |
↑13.6% |
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