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网易机构预测指数第十八期对CPI、信贷、和进出口等数据进行了预测，调查显示8月CPI或增2.6%；PPI跌幅继续收窄，或下降1.8%；进出口较7月将略有上升，出口、进口或增6.1% 和10.5%；固定资产投资保持稳定，或增20.3%。 [详细] |
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2013年7月经济数据预测
- CPI2.6%
8月CPI与7月的变化应该不大，同比增2.6%左右。较低的通胀水平意味着央行放宽货币的可能有所增加。[详细]
- PPI-1.8%
机构普遍预测PPI降幅进一步收窄，预测均值-1.8%。这与PMI指数走势相吻合，反映出中国制造业活动有弱复苏的趋势。[详细]
- 新增贷款6985
各家机构8月新增贷款机构预测均值6985亿元，M2增长14.5%，如此下去，M2增长13%的目标必将被再次逾越。[详细]
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 湘财证券 |
↑2.5% |
↓-2.3% |
| 国开证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.7% |
| 方正证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-1.8% |
| 国泰君安 |
↑2.7% |
↓-1.5% |
| 银河证券 |
↑2.4% |
↓-2.2% |
| 中信证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.9% |
| 申银万国 |
↑2.7% |
↓-1.8% |
| 华泰证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.6% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.4% |
| 兴业银行 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.9% |
| 美林美银 |
↑2.7% |
↓-2.3% |
| 交通银行 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.5% |
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| 机构名称 |
CPI增速(同比) |
PPI增速(同比) |
| 东北证券 |
↑2.9% |
↓-1.9% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑2.9% |
↓-1.8% |
| 光大证券 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.8% |
| 浙商证券 |
↑2.7% |
↓-1.8% |
| 德意志银行 |
↑2.6% |
↓-1.4% |
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| 机构名称 |
新增贷款(亿元) |
M2增速(同比) |
| 湘财证券 |
↑7200 |
↑14.8 % |
| 国开证券 |
↑6900 |
↑14.3 % |
| 方正证券 |
↑6800 |
↑14.6 % |
| 国泰君安 |
↑7000 |
↑13.9 % |
| 银河证券 |
↑7500 |
↑14.1 % |
| 中信证券 |
↑5200 |
↑14.4% |
| 申银万国 |
↑7100 |
↑14.8% |
| 华泰证券 |
↑6900 |
↑14.4% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑7300 |
↑14.5% |
| 兴业银行 |
↑6500 |
↑14.3 % |
| 美林美银 |
↑7000 |
↑14.5% |
| 交通银行 |
↑6850 |
↑14.4 % |
| 东北证券 |
↑7900 |
↑14.6 % |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑7000 |
↑14.2 % |
| 光大证券 |
↑7500 |
↑14.6% |
| 浙商证券 |
↑7100 |
↑14.4 % |
| 德意志银行 |
↑7000 |
↑15% |
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| 机构名称 |
进口增速(同比) |
出口增速(同比) |
顺差(亿美元) |
| 湘财证券 |
↑8% |
↑6% |
↑252 |
| 国开证券 |
↑9.5% |
↑5.4% |
↑216 |
| 方正证券 |
↑12.1% |
↑4.5% |
↑161 |
| 国泰君安 |
↑7.4% |
↑8.8% |
↑212 |
| 银河证券 |
↑12.2% |
↑6.7% |
↑190 |
| 中信证券 |
↑11.5% |
↑6% |
↑196 |
| 申银万国 |
↑11.7% |
↑5.1% |
↑179 |
| 华泰证券 |
↑11.6% |
↑5.1% |
↑180 |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑12.5% |
↑8.5% |
↑226 |
| 兴业银行 |
↑8.5% |
↑4.5% |
↑200 |
| 美林美银 |
↑10.9% |
↑5.1% |
↑178 |
| 交通银行 |
↑6% |
↑4% |
↑180 |
| 东北证券 |
↑11.7% |
↑6.1% |
↑199 |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑10% |
↑5% |
↑204 |
| 光大证券 |
↑10.4% |
↑8.1% |
↑249 |
| 浙商证券 |
↑12% |
↑8% |
↑180 |
| 德意志银行 |
↑13% |
↑7% |
↑192 |
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| 机构名称 |
工业增加值 |
固定资产投资 |
社会消费品零售额 |
| 湘财证券 |
↑10.2 % |
↑20.7% |
↑13.6% |
| 国开证券 |
↑9.8 % |
↑20.2% |
↑13.2% |
| 方正证券 |
↑9.9 % |
↑20.2% |
↑13.2% |
| 国泰君安 |
↑9.3 % |
↑21.4% |
↑14.4% |
| 银河证券 |
↑9.8 % |
↑20% |
↑13.2% |
| 中信证券 |
↑10.5% |
↑20.2% |
↑13.2% |
| 申银万国 |
↑9.9% |
↑20.1% |
↑12.8% |
| 华泰证券 |
↑9.9% |
↑20.2% |
↑13.2% |
| 瑞银证券 |
↑9.9% |
↑20.3% |
↑13.2% |
| 兴业银行 |
↑9.7 % |
↑20.3% |
↑13.4% |
| 美林美银 |
↑9.7% |
↑20.1% |
↑13.2% |
| 交通银行 |
↑9.8% |
↑20.3% |
↑13.2% |
| 东北证券 |
↑9.9 % |
↑20.3% |
↑13.1% |
| 齐鲁证券 |
↑9.9 % |
↑20.2% |
↑13.3% |
| 光大证券 |
↑10% |
↑20.1% |
↑13.3% |
| 浙商证券 |
↑10.0 % |
↑20.2% |
↑13.3% |
| 德意志银行 |
↑9.8% |
↑20.2% |
↑13.2% |
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